This is a battle of attrition between two high-scaling carries. Karthus wants to land isolated blasts from range, while Aphelios relies on his weapon rotations to sustain or burst you. Since Aphelios has zero mobility, your is incredibly effective at setting up guaranteed damage.
This is a tempo-based matchup that heavily favors you. Aphelios is an immobile marksman with a significantly slower jungle clear than yours, making him vulnerable to invades and isolated spam. You win by out-farming him and using to provide global pressure while he is stuck catching up on gold.